October 27, 2015

My Effing World Series Prediction

In just twelve short hours the New York Mets will face off against the Kansas City Royals for all the marbles.  For the first time in fifteen years the Mets find themselves in the World Series, in search of their first title in twenty-nine long years.  Across the diamond the Mets will find the Royals, who too will be looking for the first title in three decades.  By all accounts the two teams are evenly matched and primed to do battle in a long, hard fought series.  My prediction though, finds itself in the minority.  Here's why...

The Mets have accomplished a lot this postseason already.  No matter how much you love (or hate) this franchise, you cannot easily dismiss the way the Mets have netted wins against the likes of Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and Jake Arietta.  Nine games into this postseason, the Mets have faced legitimate Cy Young contenders five times.  They've won three of those games.  That's great, but its not where I see the difference.  The other four games.  The games in which the Mets haven't found themselves up against greatness.  They're an undefeated 4 and 0.  More importantly, they've feasted on mediocre pitching while averaging 7.5 runs/game in those outings.

Sure, you can call it a small sample size.  However, the Royals don't have any "great" pitchers to send the Mets way this week.  Of course the likes of Johnny Cueto and Game One starter Edinson Volquez are capable of dominant outings, but that is not necessarily their norm.  I think the difference in this series isn't the Mets great pitching, its the Royals mediocre pitching, or more importantly how the Mets offense handles it.

The Royals are unlike any team the Mets have faced thus far this postseason.  They're capable of professional at-bats and elite defense.  There won't be many free bases going forward.  However, should the Mets offense remain hot against pitchers not found on the Cy Young ballot this year they could very well run away with this series.  With Daniel Murphy firing on all cylinders..with David Wright and Lucas Duda seemingly finding their stride, this lineup is dangerous and it will be the difference.

The Mets young pitchers got them here.  Of course, they will need to continue with similar dominance, but its the bats that play here.  Keep the Royals offense at bay and let the Mets do what they do against sub-par starters.  The time has come, the World Series is upon us.  Lets play ball!!!

Mets in five!

4 comments:

  1. I tend to agree here. It's not the NYM pitching which is a given, but the NYM offense that will make the difference here. Also let's not forget about Cespedes, who feasts on RH pitching, has not really busted out yet, and can win this series all by himself offensively. For most the the season, the formula for Met wins is 4 runs + great starting pitching + Familia = Met win. They will easily be able to produce this formula every game. It's up to the Royals to upset that apple cart or they are toast.

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  2. I tend to agree here. It's not the NYM pitching which is a given, but the NYM offense that will make the difference here. Also let's not forget about Cespedes, who feasts on RH pitching, has not really busted out yet, and can win this series all by himself offensively. For most the the season, the formula for Met wins is 4 runs + great starting pitching + Familia = Met win. They will easily be able to produce this formula every game. It's up to the Royals to upset that apple cart or they are toast.

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  3. Goof job! I also agree with what you wrote, Rob! #WorldSeries #Letsgomets!!

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  4. Agreed, it much more so comes down to Granderson, Conforto, Duda, Murphy and Cespedes against the right handed arms of the Royals.

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